No One-Size-Fits-All: A Multi-Model Evaluation of Optimization-Based and Surrogate-Assisted Virtual Population Generation in QSP

Pub. type
Poster
Pub. date
April 8, 2026
Presented at
QSPC 2026 Leiden
Authors
Elena Righetti
Niccolò D’Agaro
Marco Bozza
Stefano Giampiccolo
Simone Pezzuto
Federico Reali

Motivation & Background

  • Virtual populations (VPops) represent uncertainty and inter-
    individual phenotypic variability in QSP models, supporting clinical
    decision-making [1]
  • Widely used approaches following Allen et al. [2] generate large
    plausible populations (PPops) and select VPops to match target
    clinical distributions
  • Such methods are typically evaluated on single models,
    assuming transferability
  • As QSP model complexity increases, PPop generation becomes a
    major computational bottleneck